This is a week I normally would not make a pick. There's just no game that jumps right out and says "I'm the one, go with me!" However, I vowed to make an upset pick every week this season, regardless, so why not go way out on a limb?
Under normal conditions, I recommend betting against a rookie quarterback (the Patrick Ramsey Rule), and would usually stay away from the worst team in the league. But since I'm out on this limb, let's step out even further and see if a little twig will hold me up. I'm going with the Dolphins -- not to chalk up their first win of the season, but to cover the spread.
Take Miami +9.5 vs Philadelphia. Season Record: 5-4-1.